Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 3.963119 4.306139 4.683101 5.131576 5.655272 6.253447 6.997264
2025-11-30 3.474114 3.921577 4.446701 5.120191 5.979369 7.066519 8.596110
2025-12-07 3.097210 3.574143 4.156022 4.937831 5.994459 7.430040 9.646664
2025-12-14 2.812588 3.295843 3.901799 4.743916 5.932589 7.640649 10.491629
2025-12-21 2.656725 3.159113 3.805942 4.735422 6.106943 8.198809 12.011275
2025-12-28 2.518397 3.030380 3.704000 4.699475 6.225687 8.681424 13.548471
2026-01-04 2.362898 2.866310 3.538564 4.551624 6.147813 8.819470 14.470859
2026-01-11 2.273321 2.783919 3.477860 4.548447 6.292804 9.361971 16.444259
2026-01-18 2.223982 2.752188 3.484257 4.644169 6.609278 10.282033 19.768611
2026-01-25 2.337001 2.952739 3.840367 5.326434 8.065342 13.950705 34.479117
2026-02-01 2.196291 2.781449 3.628775 5.056486 7.714585 13.528230 34.697505
2026-02-08 2.081331 2.642749 3.459777 4.846387 7.457711 13.286165 35.619678
2026-02-15 2.020196 2.588048 3.428734 4.891561 7.760058 14.653996 47.011600
2026-02-22 1.949679 2.516486 3.367917 4.881670 7.958138 15.877898 62.125402
2026-03-01 1.852197 2.399183 3.226564 4.712924 7.787324 15.983809 70.256359
2026-03-08 1.760469 2.286322 3.085808 4.533141 7.566462 15.872659 76.904313
2026-03-15 1.710819 2.234839 3.040719 4.525259 7.732086 17.088247 108.253656
2026-03-22 1.660112 2.179173 2.985130 4.491890 7.832890 18.153317 155.715244
2026-03-29 1.593412 2.096047 2.879776 4.354518 7.662805 18.153122 183.959466
2026-04-05 1.555986 2.056805 2.845293 4.351564 7.824594 19.560823 333.484859
2026-04-12 1.537238 2.045739 2.857157 4.440528 8.238485 22.377335 1875.132180
2026-04-19 1.605187 2.175147 3.118516 5.072181 10.338088 37.617947 NaN
2026-04-26 1.533770 2.076361 2.972656 4.822763 9.776372 34.902957 NaN